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Jul 27 · 18:01 ET · 06:01+1 UTC+8After-hoursFutu Global Flash · QQQ/SPY

Markets Price a 63.7% Chance the Fed Holds Rates This Week

CME FedWatch showed a 63.7% probability that the Fed will leave rates unchanged in July and a 36.3% probability of a cumulative increase of 25 basis points. By September, the probabilities were 18.5% for no change, 55.7% for a cumulative increase of 25 basis points and 25.8% for a cumulative increase of 50 basis point…

fomcPrice at publishQQQ 682.45 / -0.26%SPY 739.50 / +0.08%

Market reaction

1m5m15m30m60mBefore QQQ0.04%0.05%0.05%0.04%0.01%After QQQ0.02%0.07%0.18%0.28%0.26%Before SPY0.02%0.00%0.01%0.01%0.01%After SPY0.02%0.04%0.09%0.11%0.13%

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Jul 27 · 12:37 ET · 00:37+1 UTC+8RegularBenzinga · SPY

President Trump On Fed, Says Warsh Has To Deal With Board; Rates Should Be Lowered; We Should Have World's Lowest Interest Rate; Fed Board Members Are 'Political'

fomcPrice at publishQQQ 681.19 / -0.44%SPY 739.04 / +0.01%

Market reaction

1m5m15m30m60mBefore QQQ0.10%0.11%0.35%0.16%0.54%After QQQ0.04%0.01%0.28%0.52%0.39%Before SPY0.04%0.03%0.23%0.14%0.30%After SPY0.03%0.05%0.21%0.36%0.29%

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Jul 23 · 08:18 ET · 20:18 UTC+8PremarketBenzinga · SPY

European Central Bank Leaves Interest Rate On Deposit Facility Unchanged At 2.25%; Benchmark Refinancing Rate Unchanged At 2.40%

treasury-yieldsfomcPrice at publishQQQ 699.28 / -0.86%SPY 743.01 / -0.59%

Market reaction

1m5m15m30m60mBefore QQQ0.03%0.03%0.15%0.05%0.49%After QQQ0.02%0.06%0.21%0.48%0.67%Before SPY0.02%0.02%0.10%0.01%0.28%After SPY0.00%0.06%0.16%0.34%0.45%

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Jul 21 · 16:25 ET · 04:25+1 UTC+8After-hoursBenzinga · SPY

A Hidden Fed Disconnect Could Become the Market's Biggest Risk

Top economists expect Fed cuts in 2027, but CME FedWatch prices two hikes. Here's why the disconnect could matter for stocks.

fomcriskPrice at publishQQQ 708.33 / +1.76%SPY 747.93 / +0.79%

Market reaction

1m5m15m30m60mBefore QQQ0.00%0.00%0.05%0.17%0.06%After QQQ0.00%0.01%0.04%0.02%0.10%Before SPY0.01%0.00%0.03%0.06%0.05%After SPY0.00%0.01%0.01%0.01%0.01%

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Jul 21 · 09:23 ET · 21:23 UTC+8PremarketFutubull SPY · wallstreetcn

"Good News" Turns into "Bad News": The More U.S. Economic Data Beats Expectations, the More the S&P 500 Falls

Strong U.S. economic data has triggered a 'good news is bad news' trading dynamic: robust economic performance → persistent inflationary pressures → the Federal Reserve remains unable to cut rates, sustaining a 'higher for longer' interest rate stance → eleva…

inflationfomcmacro-dataaiPrice at publishQQQ 705.46 / +1.35%SPY 745.49 / +0.46%

Market reaction

1m5m15m30m60mBefore QQQ0.02%0.03%0.04%0.02%0.12%After QQQ0.00%0.10%0.00%0.04%0.11%Before SPY0.00%0.03%0.05%0.02%0.08%After SPY0.00%0.06%0.01%0.10%0.05%

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