MarketNewsCurve2026-07-31 · 54 headlines

July 31, 2026 · QQQ/SPY Market Review · 54 headlines

QQQ's opening surge fades to a SPY lead before overnight currency and chip-supply updates

QQQ gained 0.13% and SPY 0.34%, leaving SPY 0.20 percentage points ahead. QQQ opened 1.33% higher against SPY's 0.44%, then lost ground in regular and after-hours trading. Amazon's cloud beat contrasted with Apple's softer guidance, and Apple's DRAM-cost disclosure appeared near a sharp QQQ-led reversal. The Employment Cost Index beat expectations and dissenting Fed officials favored tighter policy. Conflicting Hormuz claims, possible strikes on Iranian energy assets, and a tanker attack near Oman kept energy risk high. Overnight reports described joint U.S.-Japan yen buying and continued Japan chip shutdowns. Overnight prices were carried, so those updates have no observed ETF response.

Published

QQQ
+0.13%
SPY
+0.34%
QQQ − SPY
-0.20%

What shaped the session

1

Megacap earnings crosscurrents

Amazon's cloud revenue beat expectations while Apple's revenue guidance missed them. Apple later said surging DRAM costs had forced product price increases, adding pressure to technology-heavy QQQ as it surrendered its opening lead.

2

Firm inflation and rate backdrop

The second-quarter Employment Cost Index rose 0.9%, above the 0.8% estimate. Two dissenting Fed officials warned that delaying action on persistent inflation could require more aggressive policy later.

3

Hormuz and Oman shipping risk

Iran said passage through the Strait of Hormuz had been suspended, while U.S. Central Command denied the waterway was closed. A later report identified Iranian energy facilities as possible strike targets, and an overnight tanker attack near Oman damaged the vessel's engine room.

4

Overnight currency and chip-supply updates

Reporting described the first joint U.S.-Japan yen purchases in nearly 30 years. South Korea's semiconductor exports jumped 179% from a year earlier, while Japanese plants including Sony, TSMC, and Tokyo Electron facilities remained shut after an earthquake.

Open
QQQ
+1.33%09:31 $692.63
SPY
+0.44%09:31 $744.97
Regular close
QQQ
+0.64%16:00 $687.92
SPY
+0.69%16:00 $746.81
Full-session range
QQQ
$695.77 / $680.05High 09:36 / Low 10:17
SPY
$748.89 / $737.68High 15:55 / Low 10:17
Full-session end
QQQ
+0.13%04:00 $684.47
SPY
+0.34%04:00 $744.20

QQQ / SPY · 2026-07-31 News Curve

QQQ / SPY · 2026-07-31