MarketNewsCurve2026-08-04 · 53 headlines

August 4, 2026 · QQQ/SPY Market Review · 53 headlines

QQQ holds its 1.26-point edge through AMD volatility before Red Sea tanker risk returns

QQQ rose 3.24% and SPY gained 1.98%, leaving QQQ ahead by 1.26 percentage points. QQQ added 1.97 points during regular trading versus 1.30 for SPY. June JOLTS openings and factory orders missed expectations, while the two ETFs advanced after the 10:00 ET releases. AMD beat headline earnings and sales estimates after the close, but QQQ fell 0.40% over the next 15 minutes. SpaceX later outlined plans to use Nvidia systems for its AI services and space-based data centers. Overnight reports moved from a possible 60-day Hormuz agreement to U.S. threats, an Iranian warning of delay, and a Houthi claim that it attacked a Saudi oil tanker. Both curves remained at their 20:00 ET levels overnight.

Published

QQQ
+3.24%
SPY
+1.98%
QQQ − SPY
+1.26%

What shaped the session

1

Macro data and the session advance

The June trade deficit was $73.30 billion versus $73.00 billion expected. At 10:00 ET, job openings were 7.359 million versus 7.440 million expected and factory orders fell 0.3% versus a 0.2% rise expected. QQQ gained 0.27% and SPY 0.19% over the next 15 minutes.

2

Technology leadership and AMD reset

QQQ added 1.97 percentage points during regular trading compared with 1.30 for SPY. AMD's earnings and sales beat was followed by a 0.40% QQQ decline over 15 minutes, while its revenue guidance topped expectations. SpaceX later said its future AI services would run exclusively on Nvidia systems.

3

Inflation and policy signals

Treasury Secretary Bessent stressed yen stability and said the Fed should consider enlarging its swap line. Fed officials Paulson and Schmid separately described inflation as too high, with Schmid saying the problem extended beyond energy and reflected supply-demand imbalance.

4

Hormuz talks and shipping risk

Iran described talks with Oman as positive during regular trading. Overnight reports then described a possible 60-day interim agreement, a U.S. threat of severe strikes, an Iranian warning that threats would delay an accord, and a Houthi claim that it attacked a Saudi oil tanker in the Red Sea.

Open
QQQ
+1.40%09:31 $709.88
SPY
+0.49%09:31 $761.38
Regular close
QQQ
+3.37%16:00 $723.68
SPY
+1.79%16:00 $771.25
Full-session range
QQQ
$725.66 / $699.54High 15:47 / Low 08:15
SPY
$773.41 / $758.11High 15:47 / Low 05:19
Full-session end
QQQ
+3.24%04:00 $722.77
SPY
+1.98%04:00 $772.68

QQQ / SPY · 2026-08-04 News Curve

QQQ / SPY · 2026-08-04