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Sep 11 · 09:30 ET · 21:30 UTC+8RegularBenzinga · QQQ

Hot Data Sends Prediction Market September Rate Hike Odds to 80%

September hike odds surged toward 80% after hotter , leaving Kevin Warsh less room to wait on rates.

cpifomcPrice at publishQQQ 715.65 / +0.98%SPY 764.68 / +0.90%
Market reaction
1m5m15m30m60mBefore QQQ0.08%0.05%0.09%0.18%0.13%After QQQ0.14%0.00%0.05%0.17%0.11%Before SPY0.09%0.03%0.04%0.15%0.15%After SPY0.01%0.14%0.10%0.21%0.14%
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Sep 11 · 09:09 ET · 21:09 UTC+8PremarketFutu Global Flash · QQQ/SPY

Markets price in two hikes this year after report

After U.S. core exceeded expectations, interest-rate swap markets raised hike bets further, pricing a 90% probability of a hike next week and fully pricing two hikes this year. Schroders global head of economics David Rees said the Fed could raise rates next week and let short-term borrowing costs rise i…

cpiinflationfomcriskPrice at publishQQQ 716.65 / +1.12%SPY 765.47 / +1.01%
Market reaction
1m5m15m30m60mBefore QQQ0.02%0.05%0.08%0.30%0.51%After QQQ0.03%0.07%0.10%0.17%0.29%Before SPY0.03%0.06%0.08%0.31%0.43%After SPY0.01%0.08%0.08%0.04%0.03%
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Sep 11 · 08:46 ET · 20:46 UTC+8PremarketFutu Global Flash · QQQ/SPY

data raise odds of a rate hike next week

After the latest data, markets on Friday increased bets that the will raise interest rates at next week's meeting. Data from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics showed rose 0.3% month over month in August, above economists' 0.2% forecast. Market pricing now implies about an 85% c…

cpiinflationfomcPrice at publishQQQ 713.98 / +0.75%SPY 762.83 / +0.66%
Market reaction
1m5m15m30m60mBefore QQQ0.03%0.07%0.37%0.07%0.06%After QQQ0.07%0.22%0.48%0.30%0.31%Before SPY0.01%0.04%0.25%0.05%0.06%After SPY0.07%0.19%0.46%0.26%0.32%
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Sep 11 · 08:41 ET · 20:41 UTC+8PremarketFutu Global Flash · QQQ/SPY

Nick Timiraos: In August , core services excluding housing rose 0.51% month over month, the highest since January, and 3% year over year. Core goods inflation rose 0.…

Nick Timiraos said that in the August , core services excluding housing rose 0.51% month over month, the highest since January, and 3% year over year. Core goods inflation rose 0.11% month over month and 0.7% year over year. Housing inflation rose 0.26% month over month and 3% year over year.

cpiinflationfomcPrice at publishQQQ 714.45 / +0.81%SPY 763.17 / +0.70%
Market reaction
1m5m15m30m60mBefore QQQ0.01%0.10%0.11%0.17%0.17%After QQQ0.02%0.07%0.28%0.28%0.08%Before SPY0.02%0.09%0.06%0.10%0.14%After SPY0.01%0.04%0.27%0.30%0.27%
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Sep 11 · 08:38 ET · 20:38 UTC+8PremarketFutu Global Flash · QQQ/SPY

U.S. August accelerates as rate-hike expectations rise rapidly

U.S. consumer prices accelerated in August as gasoline costs rebounded after two monthly declines, reinforcing market expectations that the could raise rates next week. The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics said Friday that rose 0.4% month over month after a modest 0.1% increase in July. Consumer inf…

cpippipceinflationPrice at publishQQQ 714.09 / +0.76%SPY 762.95 / +0.68%
Market reaction
1m5m15m30m60mBefore QQQ0.03%0.18%0.05%0.16%0.15%After QQQ0.06%0.02%0.25%0.38%0.18%Before SPY0.02%0.12%0.02%0.10%0.12%After SPY0.02%0.01%0.25%0.36%0.38%
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